Saturday, June 8, 2019

Xbox THEORY

By: Patrick "TheLaw" Morris


Welcome welcome welcome everyone welcome back to LegalSpeak a ColdNorth Production. I'm TheLawMorris and this is the video essay series where I get to talk about the games I've been playing and what I think of the medium as a whole. You can find everything we do including both of our podcasts all in one spot over at ColdNorthPro.com. Now I've been trying to make these things a bit shorter but whenever I sit down to write it just keeps pouring out of me like I'm lactose intolerant and I've just woken up at 3AM after taco night so please bear with me, I'm working on it. Anyway this week I'm crazy excited to share my wild theory about the next generation of Xbox so lets get right to it!

So everyone makes E3 predictions videos and who can blame them they're all super fun! I'll have a whole load of predictions on our podcast HardReset right before the actual conference but today I'm going to go into a bit more detail about my biggest and boldest E3 prediction not only this year but my biggest one ever. I couldn’t wait to get this out so here it is: the next generation of Xbox codenamed Scarlett will be released later this year and Microsoft is going to tell us all about it at their E3 conference.

Now before I start connecting red string and chasing after my own Pepe Silvia I need you to make one small leap just so we can all get rolling on the same page, I need us all to agree that Halo Infinite will almost certainly be a launch title for the Scarlet. With the exceptions of Halo 2 and 5 both of which there are reasonable explanations for, Halo games show up at two E3's. They're announced via a teaser then gameplay is shown off the next year and they come out 3-6 months after their second E3. Halo 2 got it's teaser in 2002 because Microsoft needed to keep the momentum going on their new console and Halo 5 was eventually released in 2015 but was announced in 2013 as a show of good faith that Microsoft's flagship series would definitely be coming to the yet to be released Xbox One. But aside from those two the pattern is solid. Halo 3 was revealed at E3 2006 reappeared at E3 2007 and released in September of 2007. Halo Reach announced in 2009, reappeared in 2010 and released in September 2010. Halo 4 announced in 2011, reappeared in 2012 and released in November 2012. Halo Infinite was announced at E3 2018 and has been confirmed to be present on the Microsoft stage at E3 this year. So if the pattern holds that points to a fall 2019 release.

And that’s not the only pattern that supports the idea. For almost twenty year the industry has been comprised of three major players: Sony, Microsoft, and Nintendo. And for almost twenty years whenever a new console generation comes along one of the big three launches a year ahead of the other two. Sony released the PS2 in 2000, Microsoft and Nintendo followed in 2001. Microsoft launched the Xbox 360 in 2005, Sony and Nintendo followed in 2006. Nintendo pooped out the Wii U in 2012, Sony and Microsoft launched a year later in 2013. After the Wired article and hearing some of the headlining features of the PlayStation 5 media and fans alike are all starting to feel like a fall 2020 release window is imminent. The Switch is an enigma and we know Nintendo wont have or wouldn’t even want to have a successor ready in 2020 much less 2019 so Nintendo is out. So who is left to fill that year early spot that will presumably be fall 2019? Microsoft.

And with the current state of the market why wouldn’t Microsoft want to be the first to pop champagne on their new console? The Xbox One era has been a rough six year for the Xbox bran,d stumbling before the race even began and never really being able to recover. Every time a new console generation starts the industry hits a gigantic reset button and everything is wiped clean. Everyone starts back at square one and they have to fight for the same customers they already had all over again. Since the introduction of the Xbox One X Microsoft has been able to not entirely stop but significantly slow the bleeding and over the past few years especially since the introduction of the half step consoles the tide has slowly been turning in Microsoft's favor. I think that Sony announcing backwards compatibility for the PS5 is a response to this turning of the tide. Sony is trying to carry over the investment that the consumers have in the PS4 ecosystem into the PS5 to keep some of those customers.

Late last year Sony officially announced that they would not be making an appearance at E3 2019, Microsoft then quickly announced that they definitely would be at E3 2019. And ever since then both Phil Spencer and the Xbox PR team have not been shy about hyping up the show implying that they’ve been given an opportunity and they're not going to let it go to waste. So if Microsoft is bringing the big guns to E3 then what bigger gun to bring than the first of the next generation of consoles?

If Phil Spencer were to take the stage and show us Cyberpunk 2077, Gears 5, Forza 12 or whatever one they're on now, Playground's Fable game, a look at whatever the Initiative has been working on and layout a roadmap for the next year or two of Xbox then close the show with Halo Infinite and a November release date for the Scarlet it would easily go down as one of the most significant moments in E3 history. Microsoft put their foot in their mouth hard with the Xbox One announcement and every time they said TV or Sports they just forced that foot in deeper; with a November 2019 release date and a $499 price tag not only would Microsoft not have a foot in their mouth they will have taken that foot and planted it firmly up Sony's ass.

So anything could happen at E3 and as it stands it looks like Microsoft has the potential to steal not only the show but potentially the entire next generation. But like I said ANYTHING could happen, as my friend Ethan mentioned historically anytime Microsoft is given a layup opportunity they turn it into a dumpster fire situation, anyone else remember Zune music? So we'll just have to wait and see, I wont be surprised if I'm dead wrong but Ill be very excited if it turns out im right.

What do you think Microsoft will have to show us at E3? Let me know in the comments down below.

Thanks for watching my video! If you loved what you heard don’t forget to subscribe for a new video every week. Don’t forget to check out our gaming podcast HardReset and our movies podcast NoRefunds the podcast that watches bad movies so you don’t have to. You can find everything we do all in one spot over at ColdNorthPro.com links to everything will be in the description down below. Next week could be the Gorgeous Ben Reynolds episode…you'll just have to tune in to find out. Until then though just go play some games!

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